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Begin part 2 of 3
NOTE: PART 2 PRECEDES PART 1 THIS EVENING
CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri =Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.)
Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
Current. Thumped down to the 50 day EMA. The 50 day EMA is where the big money buyers either step up to support a stock or step aside.
ACI 05/03 Test BO 68.85 -2.69 61.60 73.95 5.9M 5.5M 73.11
Trailing Stop. Gapped lower on a downgrade and we decided to take the rest of the gain off the table and see how this 18 day EMA test plays out. ACI has made us a lot of money over its run and is showing some distribution along with accumulation & with that situation we want to see how the big boys come in to support it after some high volume selling.
AGU 06/03 Asc Bse 99.90 -0.23 91.76 104.95 6.6M 4.5M 97.68
Current. Held the Wednesday gap higher, rebounding from an intraday selling bout.
APD 06/05 PreAnn 100.35 +0.16 102.78 119.95 1.6M 1.5M 100.11
Buy Not Hit. Still testing the 50 day EMA after giving up a strong break higher to start the month. This is the level where we see if the big money steps up to support it.
APH 06/03 Cup hdl 47.85 +0.72 48.22 55.95 1.6M 1.4M 46.38
Buy Not Issued. Strong volume as APH moved up off the 18 day EMA. Very solid action in a weak market. Watching APH closely; if this break higher continues on strong volume it is a buy.
ATW 06/07 PreAnn 104.32 +0.68 105.77 121.95 1M 800K 101.94
Current. Announced a split on Wednesday and volume jacked up Thursday but the stock basically held flat on the close after a modest intraday bounce.
BAM 05/07 Test 20 33.98 -0.25 35.15 39.95 1M 2M 34.94
Current. Testing down to the 200 day SMA on low volume. Given the orderly pullback we decided to let it make the test and see if the buyers emerge here.
BBD 05/12 Test BO 21.93 +0.69 23.63 28.22 11M 10M 22.96
Exited. Bounced up off the 90 day SMA to tap at the 50 day EMA. Used the bounce to close the position.
BBD 04/30 Asc Bse 21.93 +0.69 23.60 28.21 11M 10M 22.96
Exited.
BG 05/21 Rev HS 119.77 -2.63 121.31 139.95 3.3M 4M 118.42
Current. Big test lower to the 50 day EMA and then recovered to hold the 18 day EMA. Volume was very strong as it rebounded off support, a sign the buyers were moving in again.
BHI 06/09 Rev HS 86.29 -0.89 90.48 104.95 3.3M 6.5M 87.22
Buy Not Hit. Still a nice pattern setting up despite all of the volatility in the market and in the price of oil.
BTU 06/02 Test 18 75.95 -2.74 78.58 89.95 7.8M 7M 76.48
Exited. Coal was under pressure and BTU was selling on strong volume for the second session. It held at the 18 day EMA but we opted to close it given the distribution. If it sets up again that is fine and we will look at it again.
BUCY 06/10 Test BO 72.90 -0.60 73.12 83.95 1.5M 2.8M 71.66
Buy Not Issued. Still the nice test of the 10 day EMA underway. Holding up well in a weak market.
CLB 06/07 Cup 138.50 -2.75 141.95 162.45 111K 315K 136.45
Current. Tested the 18 day EMA on the low and rebounded to cut its losses on some very low volume. Still strong, still in great position to make the breakout.
DNR 05/28 Test BO 33.32 -1.48 35.87 42.75 2.4M 3.2M 34.39
Current. Sold back to the 50 day EMA on lighter trade so left it alone as it has been holding this level.
EQIX 06/03 Cup hdl 93.78 +0.80 98.12 112.95 531K 1.6M 96.32
Current. Holding up very nicely at the 18 day EMA in a very good pattern. Letting EQIX hold this level and if it bounces and shows some better volume we will look to add some positions.
ESMK 06/11 Cup hdl 20.31 +0.33 20.14 24.22 118K 550K 18.73
Buy Not Issued. Added some upside but on no trade. May get a bit of a pullback here before it continues higher, giving us a better entry point. If not, we will take a part position and then let it test to add to it.
ETN 05/29 PreAnn 95.47 +3.06 95.82 104.95 2.7M 2.5M 94.08
Current. Nice solid price and volume action as ETN held the 18 day EMA test and bounced nicely.
FFIV 05/29 DB hdl 28.84 -0.83 30.04 35.95 3.6M 4.5M 29.48
Exited. Sold on rising volume so closed it even though it did hold the 200 day SMA on the low. Did not want it falling further on us. If it holds here and bounces on volume we will definitely look at it again.
FWLT 05/20 DB hdl 70.82 -1.49 77.50 94.95 2.5M 5M 74.78
Exited. Sold off to the 50 day EMA after a lower volume lower high. Did not want to risk it going lower. If it holds and can show some strong upside trade we will consider it once more.
ICO 05/22 Test BO 10.99 +0.19 10.03 12.25 3.1M 3M 10.28
Current. Stronger, average volume as ICO started to move higher once more in its continuing uptrend along the 10 day EMA. Very nice.
MA 06/07 Test 18 284.40 +5.19 289.65 339.95 3.1M 4M 283.32
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher, tapped the 18 day EMA on the high and then faded, giving up half of its gains. No issues. Strong stock showing signs of starting back up here. If it makes the break we run with it.
MDR 05/30 Asc Bse 61.54 -0.90 62.23 71.95 2.1M 3.5M 63.65
Exited. Got too cautious with this as it sold through the 18 day EMA late in the session only to then rebound and hold that near support on the close. If it holds here and bounces we will look at it as a new play.
MOS 06/05 Dbl btm 147.49 -2.14 140.11 159.95 6.4M 9M 144.88
Current. Took a day off after a torrid run higher. Low volume as it rested, showing no real sellers.
MR 05/23 Rev HS 38.57 +0.97 39.98 47.89 803K 1M 40.57
Current. Solid, above average volume bounce off of the 200 day SMA so we left MR to fight another day.
MTL 06/11 Test 50 49.21 -2.41 53.25 63.95 2.8M 4.5M 60.11
Buy Not Hit. Sold through the 50 day EMA so dropping for now.
MTRX 05/17 DB hdl 23.74 +0.12 25.05 29.95 161K 550K 23.44
Buy Not Issued. Still working laterally in a tightening range along the 18 day EMA. Taking forever but just waiting for it to show a breakout move.
NBR 03/11 DB hdl 44.48 -0.32 32.80 37.95 6.6M 8M 42.89
Current. Gave back a bit on the session but lower volume and still in its rather amazing run up the 10 day EMA.
NETL 06/04 Cup hdl 35.46 -0.06 37.88 45.95 905K 1M 35.88
Buy Not Issued. On the bubble here as it tried to move higher on rising, above average volume but then gave it back. We will see if it can show us the break.
NKE 06/05 Flat 66.78 -0.66 70.39 80.95 3M 4.5M 67.21
Buy Not Hit. Sold down to the 50 day EMA on lower, below average volume. Still in its 3 month lateral consolidation so we are still waiting to see if it can give us the break higher and clear the resistance. The aggressive can play a bounce off this level and capture a run to 69-70.
NOV 05/13 Test BO 80.44 -2.92 75.95 88.95 7.6M 6.2M 83.21
Trailing Stop. Sold through the 18 day EMA on rising trade so we took the rest off the table.
NUVA 05/29 Rev HS 42.18 +0.48 43.18 49.95 373K 600K 42.38
Current. Good hold at the 18 day EMA from a solid stock in the healthcare sector. Given those factors we were not inclined to sell it on the intraday bounce higher.
PDO 06/10 Test 18 19.97 +0.07 20.35 26.95 129K 400K 18.97
Current. Gapped higher but then gave most of it back on the close. Nice pattern still, holding the 10 day EMA and moving higher.
PX 06/03 Asc Bse 96.07 +1.70 96.44 109.95 1.8M 2.9M 96.32
Current. Gapped higher and held most of the gain in a volatile session so it was worth keeping it on the table.
RIMM 04/09 Cup hdl 129.59 -2.20 118.75 144.95 15M 35M 136.88
Current. Sold down to tap the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounded modestly to close. No heavy selling of RIMM as it makes this test so there is no reason for us to get out of our positions.
RIMM 03/21 DB hdl 129.59 -2.20 111.25 126.95 15M 32M 136.88
Current.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 129.59 -2.20 92.30 105.95 15M 32M 136.88
Current.
RS 06/02 FlyPlat 66.48 -0.81 69.86 79.95 850K 1.2M 66.91
Exited. Sold through the 18 day EMA on the close, showing some rust so we sold all of our positions.
RS 05/10 PreAnn 66.48 -0.81 65.04 73.75 850K 1.4M 66.91
Trailing Stop.
SDA 05/23 Test BO 23.95 +0.54 24.42 29.95 808K 1M 23.25
Current. Continued the recovery, gapping higher, filling the gap intraday, and holding the opening move on stronger volume. Nice recovery off a higher low.
SGR 06/02 Cup hdl 62.10 +0.37 63.40 72.95 2.1M 2.2M 60.77
Current. Holding up very well at the 10 day EMA on what has been a low volume pullback.
SLB 06/10 Rev HS 98.82 -2.48 105.11 119.95 9.1M 12M 102.08
Buy Not Hit. Higher volume selling through the 50 day EMA. Will watch it but dropping for now.
STLD 06/10 DB hdl 36.75 -0.31 38.48 36.75 4.6M 6.5M 36.68
Buy Not Issued. Sold back to hold the 18 day EMA on the close, still forming the handle, still in a solid pattern, still having to show the breakout.
TTES 05/31 Test 18 66.08 +1.06 66.66 74.95 128K 300K 66.50
Current. Nice hold at the 18 day EMA on low volume, still testing the break higher while the overall market struggles. Nice action, still ready to make the next move.
VMI 06/09 Test 18 112.10 +0.71 114.75 129.95 314K 525K 110.91
Buy Not Hit. Very tight range as VMI continues working laterally at the 18 day EMA, setting up for the next break higher in its solid uptrend.
WDR 06/03 Asc Bse 35.00 +0.42 36.42 42.45 1M 1.4M 35.11
Exited. Volatile session, showing a doji on the 18 day EMA on the close. May hold and bounce from here, but after the LEH issues we decided to use the bump higher to close it out.
WGOV 05/20 Test BO 37.78 -0.06 39.27 44.85 515K 1M 37.68
Exited. Tried to rally but faded back so we closed it. Closed below the 18 day EMA and has the look it wants to go back and fill that mid-May gap. In this kind of market if a stock has a gap in its recent history, it likely will try and fill it.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AMX 06/07 Put 56.82 +1.78 55.16 51.71 8.6M 7.5M 56.21
Current. Gapped higher and rallied up through the 18 day EMA, but gave it up on the close, closing just below that level. It is in textbook position to fall, just has not done so yet.
CPB 06/07 Put 33.40 +0.29 32.97 31.00 2.3M 2M 33.88
Buy Not Issued. Gapped higher, tapped the 50 day EMA on the high, then faded below the 90 day SMA, showing a doji. In position to fall; just has to show us the drop.
DIA 06/07 HdShldr 121.63 +0.58 122.63 118.77 17M 18M 122.31
Current. Gapped higher and tried to rally but faded back to close where it opened. If it tests higher again and starts to backslide again we will add to positions.
NAL 06/11 Put 12.76 +0.27 12.54 11.21 969K 1M 12.89
Buy Not Hit. Showed stronger, above average volume as it gapped and rallied through the 50 day EMA only to turn and give most of it back. If this bounce turns back over it will have shot its ammo and will tank.
SDS 06/09 Rev HS 61.29 -0.58 60.78 65.89 26M 30M 59.96
Current. Gapped lower, traded in a wide range as it followed SP500 up and down, then closed where it opened, above the 90 day SMA. Still looks ripe to rise because . . . SP500 still looks ripe to fall.
End part 2 of 3
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