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us stock market, top stock pick
Begin part 2 of 3
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NOTE: PART 2 PRECEDES PART 1 THIS EVENING
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CONTINUING PLAYS TABLE
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LEGEND FOR CONTINUING PLAY TABLE
DATE: date play first appeared on report.
PLAY: Denotes the type of pattern or play.
Upside play types: Asc Tri=Ascending triangle; BO=Breakout; Cup=Cup base; Cup hdl=Cup w/handle; DB hdl=Double bottom w/handle; Dbl btm=Double bottom; Flat=Flat base; FlyPlat=Flying Plateau; Pennant=Pennant; Rv H&S=Reverse head & shoulders; Saucer=Saucer base; Test 18=Testing 18 day MVA; Test 50=Testing 50 day MVA; Test BO=Testing the breakout (could be 10 day MVA test, etc.) Downside play types: CCall=Covered Call; Dsc Tri=Descending triangle; Dbl Top=Double top; H&S=Head & shoulders; Put (generic downside);
PIVOT=Buy point
Tgt=Target stock price for the play. Applies to stock and options.
Vol=Volume for the most recent session.
TgtV=Target volume to enter the play.
Stop=Stop advisory point. This is advisory and we may or may not exit a play if it hits this level depending upon Market conditions.
PLAY STATUS: Buy not hit (stock has not hit buy point); Buy not issued (stock has hit buy point but did not enter due to weak volume, poor intraday action, poor Market action); Current (ongoing play already entered); Entered today (entered the play that session); Exited (closed the position); Target hit (play hit initial target; will note if took all or partial gain or let run further); Trailing stop (exited using a trailing stop loss).
Upside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
AAPL 06/04 Cup hdl 174.68 +7.24 189.19 209.95 40M 40M 183.69
Current. May finally be the bottom of this selling for AAPL as it gaped lower to the 200 day SMA and then surged over 10 points to the close on best volume in three weeks.
ABMD 06/27 Test 18 17.51 -0.24 18.84 22.75 366K 450K 17.88
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower on volume. Dropping for now.
AGU 06/26 Test 18 104.82 -2.72 105.88 121.95 4.2M 7M 101.92
Current. Gapped lower, sold off to near last week's low, then surged back up to cut the downside. Have to watch AGU closely after this gap. It bounced nicely off the 18 day EMA after filling the mid-June upside gap higher, but there is some weakness permeating agriculture. It is okay right now but don't want to start selling on higher trade.
AGU 06/03 Asc Bse 104.82 -2.72 91.76 104.95 4.2M 4.5M 107.78
Current.
ATW 06/07 PreAnn 124.10 -0.24 105.77 121.95 1.1M 800K 121.32
Current. Reached lower intraday but then posted a 5 point recovery to he close, holding its gains.
BCON 06/27 Cup hdl 1.95 -0.13 2.11 2.98 2.1M 3.3M 1.94
Buy Not Hit. Sold off to the 10 day EMA but held that support on the close. Still looking at this one for a buy after this test of last week's move.
BHI 06/24 PreAnn 88.57 +1.23 89.68 104.95 4.9M 6M 86.48
Buy Not Issued. Solid volume as it edges higher, still in the handle of its base. Nice pattern, just waiting for the break higher.
BRCM 06/19 Test 50 27.16 -0.13 28.36 32.45 17M 20M 26.66
Current. Sold off to the 50 day EMA intraday and did not look that great, but a nice bounce put it back to flat and on good volume. Despite all of the negatives, BRCM continues to doggedly hang on, looking very nice for a break higher.
BTU 06/23 Test BO 85.89 -2.16 86.38 98.95 8.2M 7.5M 84.88
Current. Lost ground overall on the day but held up well, testing the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounding to easily hold its trend.
BZP 05/31 Test BO 29.25 -0.15 23.89 28.65 870K 1.4M 27.08
Current. Slowing the last move that started with that gap last week, losing a bit of ground Tuesday but on very low, below average volume. No real issues with it right now, just letting it work in its trend though it has accelerated the move higher the past week, and with the added volatility that means we watch if selling volume rises.
CF 06/14 DB hdl 154.70 +1.90 160.49 189.95 3.7M 4M 166.72
Current. Nice tap of the 50 day EMA on the low then a solid recovery on volume. Next move is through the April peak (159).
CHK 06/12 Test BO 67.36 +1.40 61.22 69.95 15M 15M 65.55
Current. Volume moved up above average as CHK tested modestly lower then rallied to close near the session high.
CYBX 07/01 Test 18 22.12 +0.42 22.08 26.85 412K 445K 20.46
Buy Not Issued. Continued the bounce higher but was closing off its early high so held off moving in. If it continues upside we will start moving in.
DNR 05/28 Test BO 36.55 +0.05 35.87 42.75 2.8M 3.2M 37.88
Current. Holding modest gains after bouncing up off the 50 day EMA last week. Good volume on the move. Need to see it clear the May peak (37.26) as the next key move.
DRQ 06/23 Asc Bse 62.69 -0.31 62.96 73.95 704K 850K 60.05
Current. Tight doji with tail at the 10 day EMA as DRQ continues its two-week lateral move along this near support, perched at new high levels. Excellent position to continue higher and continue its run.
ERES 06/18 Asc Bse 17.14 -0.30 17.53 20.98 985K 850K 16.84
Current. Surged intraday to a new high but then faded to flat at the 10 day EMA to close. Not really worried about it: meds are working great in this market, taking over some leadership, and ERES is in an excellent uptrend.
ESMK 06/11 Cup hdl 19.13 +0.01 20.15 24.22 754K 550K 18.74
Exited.
FLIR 06/14 Test 50 43.08 +2.51 39.75 45.85 4.9M 1.3M 39.88
Current. With a flirry of solid, above average volume, FLIR surged to a new high Tuesday. Nice ride in progress.
FSLR 06/21 DB hdl 270.68 -2.14 283.30 319.95 2.8M 6.5M 276.22
Current. Upgraded Monday, all over the sun Tuesday, but held above the 90 day SMA and rebounded to cut the losses. Making a higher low; want to see volume as it surges back up.
FTI 06/25 Asc Bse 77.98 +1.05 79.88 91.95 2.2M 2.7M 76.48
Buy Not Hit. May have found its footing now. Reached to the 50 day MA on the low and rebounded positive on solid trade.
GNA 05/05 Cup hdl 18.59 -0.71 16.73 20.75 2.2M 1.2M 18.69
Trailing Stop. Sold off hard intraday, came back to close just below the 18 day EMA. Will be watching it and see how it comes back but likely needs a test of the 50 day EMA first.
GPN 06/17 Cup 46.21 -0.39 49.15 56.75 459K 750K 47.91
Current. Still holding at the 50 day EMA, showing dojis at that level and still looking good for a bounce from here.
ICO 06/26 Test BO 13.11 +0.06 13.10 15.95 2.7M 4.5M 12.18
Entered today. Tested the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounded for a gain. Though volume was lower it was worth to go ahead and take some new positions.
ICO 05/20 Test BO 13.11 +0.06 10.03 12.25 2.7M 3M 12.38
Current.
ICO 05/01 Test 18 13.11 +0.06 8.51 10.65 2.7M 3M 12.38
Current.
MDR 06/14 Test BO 62.57 +0.68 63.08 72.95 2.1M 2.8M 60.77
Buy Not Issued. Testing the 50 day EMA on the low and moving higher on rising gain. Sold test setting up the next move higher.
MEA 06/17 Test 18 17.60 +0.08 15.85 19.85 730K 985K 17.68
Current. Nice tap at the 10 day EMA on the low and rebounding to flat. Excellent action as it shows the buyers taking opportunity on the lows to pick up shares.
MON 06/12 Test BO 125.12 -1.08 137.04 156.95 8.9M 10M 139.69
Current. Found support at 120 and bounced to cut the losses from the gap lower. Ag is under some pressure and how MON performs off of this test of support will tell much of the tail. Has to move through 132 to break up a potential head and shoulders top as it makes the rebound move.
MOS 06/21 Test BO 141.31 -3.39 149.05 175.95 6.9M 9M 138.62
Buy Not Issued. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low and rebounded to cut the losses after gapping lower. Another ag stock that has some issues, but not the ones that MON has.
MR 05/23 Rev HS 36.98 -0.34 39.98 47.89 627K 1M 39.22
Current. Reached lower to some support at 36 then reversed to close flat just below the 200 day SMA. Critical next test for MR as it tries to make a higher low.
NBR 03/11 DB hdl 49.15 -0.08 32.80 37.95 9.6M 8M 48.55
Current. Gapped lower tapped the 10 day EMA, then rebounded to close flat and hold its trend higher. Cannot go on forever, but it refuses to give up.
NCOC 05/28 Test BO 8.24 -0.63 7.34 9.35 1.6M 600K 9.58
Trailing Stop. Gapped lower on lower but still strong volume. Broke the 18 day EMA so closed it for now. Will see how tests.
NGAS 07/01 Test BO 9.62 +0.34 9.78 11.95 334K 580K 9.08
Buy Not Hit. Up off the 18 day EMA and other support. Still looking good.
NOV 06/27 Test BO 90.43 +1.71 91.12 104.95 7.6M 9M 86.68
Buy not issued. Tested the 18 day EMA on the low (86.72) then reversed on above average volume for a solid gain in its two week lateral move consolidating the move to the new high and setting up for more.
OSTK 06/11 Cup hdl 26.38 +0.43 23.98 28.85 310K 500K 25.11
Buy Not Hit. Looks to have held support at 25 and is starting to bounce. Just letting it set up and show us the move.
PBT 06/27 Asc Bse 27.06 +0.65 26.60 31.98 553K 873K 25.08
Current. Continuing a great move higher.
PCU 06/24 PreSplt 107.09 +0.46 111.31 125.55 1.6M 2M 108.89
Buy Not Hit. Does not look that great here. Still, given it is a pre-split, watching to see if it catches a spark here and moves over the 200 day SMA (111.19) on some volume.
PDO 06/26 PreSplt 35.50 -1.45 36.10 43.75 353K 495K 35.45
Current. Still trying to figure out the metrics on this one. It supposedly split 5:4 but it is doing what many retailers do: marking the price higher then advertising the sale that puts prices back down to what they were before the markup. Have a call into the company but not hearing anything from it yet.
PDS 07/01 Asc Bse 27.66 +0.42 28.31 33.95 469K 1.1M 26.33
Buy Not Hit. Still working laterally, rebounding after gapping lower in its range. Low trade, just consolidating, and we are just waiting for the move.
PSYS 06/25 Test BO 38.41 +0.57 39.11 44.95 880K 1.2M 37.39
Buy Not Hit. Volume is up to average as PSYS tested lower then reversed for a gain. Looks ready to make the move and we are ready to move in as it does.
RDC 07/01 Asc Bse 46.17 -0.58 47.88 56.95 2.9M 4.5M 45.32
Buy Not Hit. Held tough in a volatile session, testing lower then reversing to close basically flat above the 10 day EMA. Just watching for a definitive move higher.
RIG 06/23 Test 50 152.17 -0.22 155.05 174.95 5.1M 8.5M 151.55
Buy Not Hit. Doji over the 50 day SMA on low volume, testing the 50 day EMA on the intraday low and rebounding. Set up well.
RIMM 04/09 Cup hdl 123.27 +6.37 118.75 144.95 27M 35M 143.65
Current. Gapped lower, tapped the 200 day SMA, and reversed for a gain on volume. See AAPL. Basically the same thing only RIMM has that nasty earnings gap lower. Resistance at 130 on the rebound, then 140.
RIMM 03/21 DB hdl 123.27 +6.37 111.25 126.95 27M 32M 143.65
Current.
RIMM 02/09 Dbl btm 123.27 +6.37 92.30 105.95 27M 32M 143.65
Current.
SIM 06/10 Test BO 16.57 -0.31 16.83 20.00 122K 275K 16.38
Current. Trying to hang on near the 18 day EMA (16.76), slipping on rising though below average volume. Nice trend higher and this is not a break of its recent trend out of May, but it needs to hold the line near here.
SLB 06/23 DB hdl 109.86 +2.43 109.48 124.95 12M 12M 105.55
Entered today. Solid jump in volume, the best in a month, as SLB cleared the April through June peaks. Nice.
STLD 06/10 DB hdl 38.09 -0.98 38.95 46.75 5.1M 6.5M 38.55
Current. Tapped the 50 day EMA on the low and then rebounded to cut the losses after the move lower on volume. Holding support where it needs to.
SVNT 06/16 Test 50 25.54 +0.24 26.11 31.45 1.1M 2M 24.48
Current. Holding well at the 18 day EMA, rebounding form the low and still in excellent shape.
TITN 06/26 Test 18 26.84 -4.48 31.80 37.95 1.8M 1.5M 29.57
Exited.
TITN 06/07 Test 18 26.84 -4.48 25.88 30.95 1.8M 775K 32.11
Trailing Stop.
TRMB 06/21 Test 50 34.71 -0.99 38.05 43.95 1.6M 2M 36.78
Exited. Fell below the 50 day EMA with a gap and could not recover. Will see if it sets up again but did not like this action in a rebounding market.
V 06/27 Asc Bse 81.41 +0.10 85.05 97.95 11M 20M 82.65
Buy Not Hit. Gapped lower to the 50 day EMA, then rebounded to flat on low volume. Still forming up the base. Just being patient.
VAR 06/25 DB hdl 50.97 -0.88 52.77 59.95 1.1M 1.5M 50.89
Buy Not Hit. Testing lower, holding the 18 day EMA (50.74), showing a doji and setting up to move higher.
XTO 06/26 Test 50 69.16 +0.65 69.06 81.95 7.9M 9.8M 67.11
Buy Not Issued. Volume moved to above average as XTO moved higher. Looking for something more definitive.
XTO 06/21 Test BO 69.16 +0.65 71.45 81.95 7.9M 9M 69.55
Current.
Downside Plays
Stock Date Play Close +/- Pivot Tgt Vol TgtV Stop
EAT 06/18 Put 18.27 -0.63 18.58 17.05 2.1M 1.5M 18.49
Current. Gapped lower, came up off the low but still posting a loss on the session on volume. Held at some support at 18 where we want it to break through.
IJR 06/25 Put 60.19 +0.02 62.14 60.00 4.1M 2M 62.66
Buy Not Issued. Sold off to the target and then some, reversing on some heavy volume to close flat. If in, a good time to take the money.
MS 06/17 Put 36.60 +0.53 40.22 37.15 25M 17M 36.55
Gapped lower and sold some more then reverse on volume. Still in its downtrend below the 10 day EMA, but a good day to take it off if you are in it.
NAL 06/11 Put 12.90 +0.42 12.42 11.15 864K 1M 12.77
Current. Gapped lower then reversed for a gain on rising, slightly above average volume. Still at the 50 day EMA but won't let it go higher if the financials continue to improve.
SOHU 06/24 HdShldr 74.87 +4.43 70.54 62.25 2.4M 3M 70.11
Gapped lower then reversed. Not huge volume but very volatile and a big upside move through the 50 day EMA.
WWE 06/11 Put 15.29 -0.18 15.35 13.77 371K 545K 15.89
Current. Sold off again to 15 but again held and rebounded. Needs to break through this level. If not we will have to close it.
XOM 06/12 Dbl Top 88.35 +0.22 87.71 84.00 26M 27M 85.31
Current. Up and down then closed higher, just below the 50 day EMA on the close on lower, below average volume. Still struggling, but want to see it break down this week.
End part 2 of 3
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us stock market
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