Invest and Trade Profitably with Jon Johnson

Weekend Newsletter for September 19, 2004

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Weekend Newsletter for September 19, 2004

Table Of Contents 1) MARKET SUMMARY 2) POST-SPLIT PLAY 3) TECHNICAL PLAY 4) COVERED CALL PLAY

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http://www.investmenthouse.com/1splitnotification.htm”>Stock Split Notices http://www.investmenthouse.com/1questions.htm”>Investing Q & As http://www.investmenthouse.com/1glossary.htm”>Glossary

1) MARKET SUMMARY
Expiration session gives its usual impossible read. At least nothing changed.

– Stocks end the week steady, holding over support, below resistance.
– Preliminary Michigan sentiment appears way off, again.
– Fed on stage this week as it faces a slowly expanding economy.
– Subscriber Question: Weekly jobless claims versus monthly non-farm payrolls.
– Stocks hanging tough over support, showing bullish bias. Still time to be wary.

http://www.investmenthouse.com/1weekendmarketsummary.htm”>Read Full Weekend Summaryhttp://www.investmenthouse.com/1daily1.htm”>Learn more about our Daily Newsletter with Stock Picks! – Issued 5 Times Per Week

2) Stock Splits Playing stock splits can be very profitable, but it takes know-how. Our stock split service focuses on three main types of plays: 1) pre-announcement (where we forecast an upcoming split prior to the company making the announcement); 2) pre-split (these plays are made in the days leading up to the actual split day); and 3) post-split plays (plays made after the actual stock split where the stock is showing continued or renewed strength). For post-splits, we can play them as we would pre-splits (very short term), but we prefer to stretch our horizons, playing the trend. When playing options, we look further out, 2 or more months at least. We let the trend carry us along if there is one, but we will also take profits if the technical pattern degenerates, e.g., breaks a trendline. The main difference between post-splits and pre-splits plays is that we really have to like the pattern. Pre-splits can run right before their splits even with poor technical indicators. For post-splits, we are looking at the stocks from more of a longer term “would I buy this stock at this juncture?” position. Now there are times when a hot stock splits and investors pile in to get in while the stock is ‘cheaper.’ We play those, but with more of a short-term, pre-splits mentality in that we will be ready to get out fast if the momentum fades. Remember, everything we do has to pass muster with the market that day … don’t fight the market on these plays. Here’s a post-split play to watch and our current analysis.http://www.investmenthouse.com/1stocksplits1.htm” target=”_top”>http://www.investmenthouse.com/images2/cnbc.gif” width=”39″ height=”31″ border=”0″ alt=”CNBC Interview”>
Listen to Stock Split Report Editor Jon Johnson’s stock split interview on CNBC-TV![ http://www.investmenthouse2.com/cntdir.asp?name=JonJohnson-B” target=”_new”>Broadband | http://www.investmenthouse2.com/cntdir.asp?name=JonJohnson-D” target=”_new”>Dial-up ]

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http://investmenthouse.com/quote/stkquote.php3?smbl=
MRVL”>
MRVL (Marvell Technology–$26.34; -0.04; optionable): Semiconductor integrated circuits.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/m/mrvl.html”>Company Profile
After Hours: $25.63
STATUS: Breakout test. Exploded higher to start the month, making the breakout from a 9 week cup base. Surged to 27 and spent last week easing back, testing the move on lower, below average volume. Holding near 26 on the lows, setting up for the next move higher as money flow surges ahead of price. Solid 3 to 1 accumulation in the pattern. After a couple more days of rest it will be ready to resume the move.
Volume: 4.468M Avg Volume: 4.735M
BUY POINT: $26.85 Volume=7.1M Target=$31 Stop=$25.55
POSITION: UVM BE – Feb. $25c (68 delta) &/or Stock.
http://www.investmenthouse.com/1stocksplits1.htm”>Learn more about our Stock Split Report – Issued 5 Times Per Week

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Chart by http://www.stockcharts.com”>StockCharts.com

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3) Technical Playhttp://investmenthouse.com/quote/stkquote.php3?smbl=
GENZ”>
GENZ (Genzyme–$54.66; +0.59; optionable): Biotechnology.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/g/genz.html”>Company Profile
After Hours: $54.66
STATUS: Cup w/handle. Working on the handle to an 8 month base sporting excellent 7 to 2 accumulation; that shows net buyers during the base, setting up the foundation for the breakout. Solid money flow moving ahead of the price adds to the pattern. Biotech is a sector quietly coming back, and GENZ is setting up an excellent pattern.
Volume: 2.394M Avg Volume: 2.473M
BUY POINT: $55.54 Volume=3.5M Target=$62.55 Stop=$54.28
POSITION: GZQ AK – Jan. $55c (52 delta) &/or Stock.
http://www.investmenthouse.com/1tech1.htm”>Learn more about our Technical Traders Report – Issued 5 Times Per Week Chart by http://www.stockcharts.com”>StockCharts.com

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4) Covered Call Playhttp://investmenthouse.com/quote/stkquote.php3?smbl=
SCHN”>
SCHN – Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc. is currently trading at $30.04 The October $30 Calls (SQQJF) are trading at $1.75. That provides a return of about 6% if SCHN is above $30 on expiration Friday in October.
http://biz.yahoo.com/p/s/schn.html”>Company Profile
http://www.investmenthouse.com/1coveredcalls1.htm”>Learn more about our Covered Call Tables – 8 Tables Updated 5 Times Per Week

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The foregoing is commentary for informational purposes only. All statements and expressions are the opinions of Online Investment Services, LP., or Split Ventures, Ltd. This information is not meant to be a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold securities. We are not licensed or registered in the securities industry. The information presented herein and on the related web site has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. The security portfolios of writers for this issue may, in some instances, include securities mentioned herein and on the related web site. Estimates, assumptions and other forward-looking information are subject to the limits of forecasting. Actual future developments may differ materially due to many factors. No one asscociated herewith receives compensation in any manner from any of the companies that are discussed in this newsletter or on the related websites.
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